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Mr Blobby V2 Super Simple 1m strategy

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  • Post# 1
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  • First Post: Aug 3, 2010 11:43am
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Mr Blobby V2 Super Simple 1m strategy – by Roofx

I’m not an expert in trading and I have only been trading for just over a year. However, in this year I have devoted around 12 hours per day, every week day and most Sunday nights to trading. I was a member of a paid teaching service for the first 6 months and have traded a live account on and off over the year. In the first 6 months I put 16 hours a day into trading and studying and researching and have tried many many strategies as well as created many of my own.

I’m here to share my current strategy in the hope that we can discuss its strengths and weaknesses and that some of you may be able to suggest a way to filter out or minimise some of the losing trades. The strategy is the simplest one I have used to date and relies on just one indicator, nothing else. I am using it on cable (GBPUSD) and have not tried it on any other pair. It is as robotic as they come and I imagine it would be very easy to write an EA for this. If anyone is able to do this it would be hugely appreciated. The trading window on this makes for a very long day but if I knew how to add a sound alert to the indicator it would mean I could get on with other things between signals. If anyone knows how to do this, or where to insert the sound alert line in the indicator code it would turn this into a much easier strategy to use.

I would like to thank the friend who introduced me to the BBandStop indicator although they didn’t want to be named here.

Before I explain how it works I’d like to say that on my 1m charts I can’t go back before July to back test this as the indicator is limited in how far back it can go, as are my charts when set to the 1m time scale. So all I have to offer as an idea of the possible success of the method is one month of trade data and approximately 170 trades. I will attach my trading progress spreadsheet along with the indicator and template with this post.

July made 404 pips and I will be trading it through August on small stakes. My target in this whole trading game is 20 pips per average trading day. This is enough to build a very healthy income.

Here’s how it works:


When the BB (shown as a fat red or blue blob) flips above or below and changes colour it is a new trade signal.

You must wait for the 1m candle to close to confirm the signal.

If it flips to the underside (it will change to blue in this case) it is a signal to go long. We stay in the trade until we get a short signal. This is when the blob flips to above and changes to red. Then we close and immediately enter short. We keep doing this for the duration of the trading window. Some of you may only trade a few hours each day. I am currently trading this from 7am GMT to 7.30pm GMT. A long day, I know!

STOP: We have a -45 emergency stop. This is to protect against worst case scenario events such as a big spike. This has never been hit so far in my testing.

Daily Cut-off point: To protect against days where price moves sideways all day we have a -100 pip cut off. This reduces our losses on those occasional terrible ranging days.

We do NOT trade Non Farm Payroll days and if there is a sudden spike of 100+ pips we stop for the day. This is just based on my own experience of how the market can behave after such spikes.
This system should not be judged by its first few trades, but by the pip count at the end of each trading day. By its very nature it usually takes several losses per day, but it’s the bigger moves that it soaks up pips from and makes profit. And the monthly pip count is what matters.


Example of a good day:




Example of a bad day:



Note: The light grey lines show 5 pip intervals and the heavier grey lines show 25 pip intervals. This makes counting profits or losses very quick.


The Advantages:

This method catches the big moves, sometimes making well over 100 pips in a single trade.

The maximum loss in a single trade I have seen so far is -30. The maximum profit I’ve seen is +132

The system allows many trades per day so it suits those who like to be active and not sit around waiting all day for a trade.

It’s a very simple 1 indicator system and perfect for an EA.


The problems:

At least the way I am trading it at the moment makes for a very long, tiring day.

On sideways periods it takes too many losses

Some sort of filter may be needed to keep us out of some losing trades. If we could even reduce the losses by 25% this system would be improved much further.

August is known as a tough trading month most years but I intend to trade it anyway to see how it goes.

I have attached the template, some screenshots , the BBandStop Indicator and a few other indicators such as ‘sweetspots’ and ‘time to next bar’ so your charts will look like mine.

If anyone can help with the sound alert or even program an EA for this strategy it would help us test different settings and also to test its success on pairs other than cable.

Thanks,

Roofx
Attached Files
File Type: tpl mr blobby v2.tpl   248 KB | 1,876 download
File Type: zip Indicators.zip   20 KB | 2,429 downloads
File Type: xls Mr Blobby v2 Progess sheet.xls   109 KB | 1,484 download
  • Post# 2
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 3:35pm
  • yesbee1
    Joined Dec 2009 | 104 Posts | Status: Member
Thank you for sharing the system. Very thoroughly documented. Thanks.
  • Post# 3
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 4:48pm | Edited at 5:00pm
  • finally
    Joined Aug 2009 | 150 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Roofx
Mr Blobby V2 Super Simple 1m strategy – by Roofx

[font=Calibri][size=3]I’m not an expert in trading and I have only been trading for just over a year. However, in this year I have devoted around 12 hours per day, every week day and most Sunday nights to trading. I was a member of a paid teaching service for the first 6 months and have traded a live account on and off over the year. In the first 6 months I put 16 hours a day into trading and studying and researching and have tried many many strategies...

Thanks for sharing your idea. I am always up for hearing new ideas.

Here is the problem: Just about any system or indicator can make money when the market is trending. If the market was always trending in one direction or another we would all be millionaires and it would be easy money.

However, as we all know, the market fluctuates from being directional to being choppy. The best advice I can give you for this system is to trade ONLY the most volatile hours which are Midnight-Noon E.S.T. and close up shop during the other hours.

I would be happy to help you develop other corroborating indicators/price action patterns to filter out bad signals.

I will start trading this method using nanolots (I just don't have the head to demo anything) and I will keep you posted as to what I learn. Also, I will keep you apprised of any methods I can create to filter out false signals.

I am very interested in this thread and I hope that you continue to post your trades- winners and losers- and any other info. that is useful to this method.

I have already looked at trading BB stops a while ago but I wrote off the idea because you give back too much during choppy markets. It is similar to trading PSAR. PSAR would be a million dollar system if the market was always directional but , as we all know, if you want to deplete your account, there is no better way than to trade PSAR.

Regardless, I will experiment with the BB Stops- trading eur/usd -and try to find ways to improve your method. I'll keep you posted.

By the way, I loaded the "sweet spots" on my chart and I get a gray dashed line. How do you use this line to trade?

Michael
  • Post# 4
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 5:11pm
  • Caillou ● Online
    Joined Apr 2010 | 1,378 Posts | Status: Member
Hi Roofx,

Thanks for sharing your system. Always simple systems are the best because you can make a decision early. I think your system only needs a filter and that´s it.
I´m going to test it this week with E/U since Frankfurt Open till NY close (live account, I never test a system in demo account, to test seriously in live account) ..... let´s see.......
  • Post# 5
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 5:43pm
  • willmalou
    Joined Jul 2007 | 70 Posts | Status: Think before you act!!!
Here is one with and alert. I am sure there are ea's out there already that use this indy. If I find one I will post it here for you.
Attached File
File Type: mq4 BBands_Stop_v1_with_alert.mq4   6 KB | 948 downloads
  • Post# 6
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 7:08pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting finally
Thanks for sharing your idea. I am always up for hearing new ideas.

Here is the problem: Just about any system or indicator can make money when the market is trending. If the market was always trending in one direction or another we would all be millionaires and it would be easy money.

However, as we all know, the market fluctuates from being directional to being choppy. The best advice I can give you for this system is to trade ONLY the most volatile hours which are Midnight-Noon E.S.T. and close up shop during the other hours.

I would be...
Thanks for your reply. Yes the ranging days are what kills most indicators. This is why we need some sort of filter for this. I have looked at all sorts of filtering methods on previous strategies and usually on the 1m chart they just filter out as many winning pips as they do losing pips. So I am open to any ideas for a means of filtering on this.

The grey dashed lines that the sweetspots indicator prints are simply there as a visual way to quickly count the profits or losses without having to look at the price. At a quick glance I can see how many pips each trade made.
  • Post# 7
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 7:08pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting willmalou
Here is one with and alert. I am sure there are ea's out there already that use this indy. If I find one I will post it here for you.
Thank you! This is exactly what I was looking for! You just made my days a lot easier!
  • Post# 8
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 7:11pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Caillou
Hi Roofx,

Thanks for sharing your system. Always simple systems are the best because you can make a decision early. I think your system only needs a filter and that´s it.
I´m going to test it this week with E/U since Frankfurt Open till NY close (live account, I never test a system in demo account, to test seriously in live account) ..... let´s see.......
Yes some sort of filter to reduce the number of losers is all we need. But that is no easy task!
  • Post# 9
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 7:23pm
  • rohule
    Joined Jan 2010 | 434 Posts | Status: trading 4x for life
hi guys! very very nice and cleen strategy, i will do my best to impruve somethings, test it in ej and in eu and looking for some filter to enter only in AAA trades! have a good one all
que la tendencia este acompanada de volumen
  • Post# 10
  • Quote
  • Aug 3, 2010 8:01pm
  • peterke
    Joined May 2008 | 133 Posts | Status: Member
Hi, good strategy, the pallada strategy which has been around a couple of years is primarily based on the BBands indicator for its entries. It uses 15 minute timeframe which from my observation works well with this indicator as the timeframe helps filter some of the noise.

There are several EAs floating around for it which I think work mainly on EURUSD.

I have attached one of the free ea's that uses the signals but I can't remember which indicators it needs.

All The pallada indicators are available free on the web

A suggestion would be to combine the BBands with the ALF which will help to provide some tighter entry and exit signals with the BBands as a filter. I think its to slow with the exits at 1 minute timeframe.

I have attached an example with the bbands and ALF and bbands looks ok as a filter
regards

Peter
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge

Name: bbands example.gif
Size: 41 KB
Attached File
File Type: ex4 Pallada EA v6.0-DC EA~.ex4   26 KB | 1,081 download
  • Post# 11
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 8:33am
  • glynnt
    Joined Jun 2008 | 83 Posts | Status: Member
Roo, I've modified the indi to allow you to go back much further in time to backtest.

As for more bars on your chart you need to go to TOOLS/History centre/GPBUSD/1 Minute and hit download.
When its finished be sure to go to CHARTS/refresh otherwise it doesn't show the new bars. You will also have to do a refresh on e.g 5M if thats the timeframe you are interested in.

I'm currently backtesting this on 5M timeframe , different SL and TP...only done 2 months so far but looks good.

BTW your friend who introduced you to this indi..how does he use it?
  • Post# 12
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 8:36am
  • glynnt
    Joined Jun 2008 | 83 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting glynnt
Roo, I've modified the indi to allow you to go back much further in time to backtest.
With indi this time
Attached Files
File Type: mq4 BBands_Stop_v1_with_alert_v2.mq4   6 KB | 905 downloads
File Type: ex4 BBands_Stop_v1_with_alert_v2.ex4   7 KB | 585 downloads
  • Post# 13
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 12:15pm
  • Fokusnik
    Joined Jun 2010 | 239 Posts | Status: Member
Roofx, thank you for sharing!

It looks really very good on H-1 (GBPJPY). As a matter of fact, on GBPJPY H-1 it looks too good to be true... So, I have two questions:

1). Have you ever tried M-15, M-30 and H-1?

2). (And this is a really stupid question). How badly does this indicator repaint?
  • Post# 14
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 12:56pm
  • vince
    Joined Feb 2009 | 155 Posts | Status: Member
-726 pips in April 2010
there are to many bad days...
  • Post# 15
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 2:46pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Fokusnik
Roofx, thank you for sharing!

It looks really very good on H-1 (GBPJPY). As a matter of fact, on GBPJPY H-1 it looks too good to be true... So, I have two questions:

1). Have you ever tried M-15, M-30 and H-1?

2). (And this is a really stupid question). How badly does this indicator repaint?
I have only used this on the 1m chart and only on cable. The indicator doesn't repaint at all. Once the candle has closed the BB stays where it is.
  • Post# 16
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 2:47pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting vince
-726 pips in April 2010
there are to many bad days...
Was this tested on the 1m chart with cable and with my rules followed exactly?
  • Post# 17
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 2:48pm
  • Roofx
    Joined Jul 2010 | 390 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting glynnt
With indi this time
Thanks for the tweaks! I will be able to put together a full year of back test data now (if my charts will go back far enough)
  • Post# 18
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 3:45pm
  • losingtrades
    Joined Jun 2010 | 245 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Fokusnik
Roofx, thank you for sharing!

It looks really very good on H-1 (GBPJPY). As a matter of fact, on GBPJPY H-1 it looks too good to be true... So, I have two questions:

1). Have you ever tried M-15, M-30 and H-1?

2). (And this is a really stupid question). How badly does this indicator repaint?

Fok buddy...you came out of hiding
  • Post# 19
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 3:48pm
  • vince
    Joined Feb 2009 | 155 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Roofx
Was this tested on the 1m chart with cable and with my rules followed exactly?
sorry, but yes 1m cable and your rules...
  • Post# 20
  • Quote
  • Aug 4, 2010 7:24pm
  • Fokusnik
    Joined Jun 2010 | 239 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting Roofx
I have only used this on the 1m chart and only on cable. The indicator doesn't repaint at all. Once the candle has closed the BB stays where it is.
Roofx, thank you very much!
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