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Mysterio's Trading Journal (based on THV)

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  • First Post: Oct 7, 2009 1:51pm | Edited Oct 13, 2009 5:57pm
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Hi folks, I thought i'd start a trading journal based on Cobra's THV scalping system. I will post every trade, winner or loser. I am currently trading on demo but will be going live if i'm happy with consistent results.

A little history, I would class myself as a 'newbie' but i'm not entirely new to forex. I know the basics of technical analysis and can spot S&R. I traded breakouts last year and after initial good results, I lost my head a little bit, over-levereged and wiped a third of my account (luckily a very small account). That was time to step back from trading for a while.

I am now trading the THV v4 system which I like because it allows me to continue to trade breakouts, incorporate technical analysis (it's not completely mechanical) and I like the 'feel' of the system. I hope the necessity of having to update my thread will keep my mind focussed.

Trading Days

Will primarily be Mondays, Thursdays & Fridays, however I may need to take weeks off without notice because of university commitments. When I do open a live account, it will be a small one because i'm a poor student. This is primarily a hobby and an interest for me, I do not intend to make a living from it at this stage.

Rules

EUR/USD & Cable will be the pairs I look at. I'm aiming for 20 - 30 pips a day, and after that the computer will be turned off. I hope to make these first thing in the morning during Europe & London open.

Entry: I will be entering on the cross of trix, with the trend only (i.e. above coral for long, below for short). I will wait for a clearance of the Ichimoku cloud before entry. I will also be on the lookout for divergence. I may, for instance, enter early before trix crosses if there is a trendline break as in the picture below.

Exit: I will respect S&R levels, pivots, and trendlines to determine exits, or exit on the change of the fast trix. SL will be ATR unless there is a reason why it shouldn't be.

New Exit Rule: I will move stops to B/E after half of the 3xATR(20) is reached and take 50% profits here.

I pledge not to

Mess around with other systems half cocked after a bad day, use an EA, blow an account, over leverage, break the above rules, be honest about losses as well as wins.

See you tomorrow when London opens!

Running pip total as of 13th October: 66.5

  • Post# 2
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 2:22am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Morning pip hunters,

Opened two shorts this morning

SHORT: G/U 1.59921
SHORT: E/U 1.47522

I will stop these out breakeven if they retrace too far.
  • Post# 3
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 2:28am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
+5 on GU, +4 on EU. Trix changed colour in both cases.
  • Post# 4
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  • Oct 8, 2009 2:36am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Long E/U : 1.47580.

G/U is too close to psych level 1.6 for me to consider yet. I will wait for a decisive break.
  • Post# 5
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 2:45am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Closed the E/U long at 1.4768 around MR3 for +10.

G/U is starting to break 1.6 but it's too late for me.

  • Post# 6
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  • Oct 8, 2009 3:04am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Naturally, the G/U trade I didn't take shoots up 40 pips

... Make that 70
  • Post# 7
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 6:27am | Edited at 6:38am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Long g/u: 1.60684
long e/u: 1.47770

-17 on the E/U and Breakeven on G/U. Looks like the trend is running out of steam.
  • Post# 8
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 7:04am | Edited at 7:18am – adding image
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
OK, so I just made my first newbie error on the last trade. Anyone guess what it was yet?

I didn't check my FF Calender. Bank of England were announcing interest rates at midday. IDIOT! No wonder PA was so indecisive. I've even done courses in International Finance. I know that interest rates can completely alter the flow of capital between countries.

I'm going to cut and run for the day. +2, at least it wasn't a total wipeout!

  • Post# 9
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 7:31am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Couldn't resist a quick short,

Short E/U 1.47647

Exit 1.47564

+8

So +10 for the day.
  • Post# 10
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 8:58am
  • Kakyn
    Joined Sep 2009 | 223 Posts | Status: .com
Good luck with the journal,

BTW how about your exit ( T/P and S/L ) strategy?
  • Post# 11
  • Quote
  • Oct 8, 2009 9:13am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Thanks for the comment.

I am still ironing this out. Roughly speaking, I will move the stop to B/E after half of the 3 x ATR (20) value. Then I will TP upon a cross in the opposite direction of trix OR touch of a known S&R level, trendline or major pivot. Initial stop will be the 3 x ATR (20) level.

This is the most shaky part of my strategy so if anyone wants to input, it is welcome.
  • Post# 12
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 2:41am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Morning pipsqueaks,

In with a long on EU 1.47296, initial SL 1.47056

Stop now at B/E, 50% closed at 1.4741
  • Post# 13
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 3:03am | Edited at 6:06am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Short EU: 1.47220
Short GU: 1.60020

G/U: Stop at B/E. 50% taken at 1.5988.

G/U: Entire position closed at 1.5988

E/U: Exited at B/E.

TOTAL TODAY: 7.5 + 14 = 21.5

I wasn't enjoying e/u this morning. It was in a narrow range and I would have got whipsawed if I took every signal.

I think I will just concentrate on g/u which usually breaks decisively in the morning. I'm looking at g/j too although I need a way of filtering out false breakouts.

  • Post# 14
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 6:21am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Man, it's easy to spot opportunities in hindsight but taking them in real time is a nightmare.

G/J is looking appealing. The first circle is the trade I would have taken this morning. My new SL/TP strategy would have saved me from the reversal. The second circle I would have taken on the trendline break. Would've, should've, could've

  • Post# 15
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 10:12am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
What a beautiful short opportunity from 1.61200 on cable, I hope some of you caught that. Talk about 'no brainer trades'.

Possible long opportunity just below 1.5800, i'll be keeping a close eye on that strong support area.

  • Post# 16
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 10:36am | Edited at 10:51am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Couldn't resist a quick +6 on EU

Have a good weekend folks, I'm doing jury duty next week so this journal may not be updated.

  • Post# 17
  • Quote
  • Oct 9, 2009 10:57am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Another quick +5

VERY tempted to move over to 1 minute screens

329316322009.10.09 14:52buy4.00eurusd1.475070.000000.000002009.10.09 14:541.475660.000.000.00236.00
  • Post# 18
  • Quote
  • Oct 12, 2009 7:52am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
Didn't get selected as a juror, thankfully.

Sticking to 5min screens for now.

Entered long on E/U at 1.47675

- Long and short term trend is UP
- Price has cleared R1
- Price is above cloud and coral
- Divergence on Trix

Stopped out B/E. I moved the stop quickly as I noticed some resistance on 5 min chart.
  • Post# 19
  • Quote
  • Oct 12, 2009 9:07am | Edited at 9:47am
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
LONG: G/U 1.58258

- Upwards Channel
- Divergence on 5min
- Price above coral and cloud

Out -15

Edit: I broke my own rules here. If I had my SL at 3xATR(20), I would still be in this trade with positive pips.
  • Post# 20
  • Quote
  • Oct 12, 2009 10:28am | Edited at 1:59pm
  • mysterio
    Joined Sep 2009 | 590 Posts | Status: Member
+22 on GU, that's more like it

SHORT at 1.58001, closed at 1.57786

Chart to follow

+7 for the day. Looking forward to a full day on the screen later in the week.

- Divergence, break of trendline, change of 15min trix provided a clue the trade was coming
- Close below cloud and break of coral gave my entry

I'm thinking of adding the 15min MTF trix colour as an additional filter. As it was red, it would have kept me out of that -15 trade, indicating the upwards channel was running out of steam.

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