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Historical Charts that allow placing trades 3 replies

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Backing Trades Thru Charts

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  • Post# 6,661
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  • Nov 15, 2012 8:47am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting Chanya
Hi Coke, Like the example of EUR USD , I was looking at almost exactly the same setup with same confluence but it failed . Below is the chart . Can you give your point of view ?
Chanya, let me start by saying that no methodology is perfect and one can be profitable with just a 40% win rate:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...64#post4082564

Your AUD/CHF entry criteria was aceptable but your SL manangement wasn't (that's why I said, it didn't failed). The 23% fib test was perfect (entry) then it was rejected (poor rejection) with a LL, here was your first warning that level could be broken, your setup got triggered then rejected and then a new LL.

On top of that, it was rejected again and reaching a significant bottom, at this moment with the first warning and having tested a bottom, the trade was ready for BE.

See, it gave you all sings and time to get out, good thing about it, it will be an easy read next time

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  • Post# 6,662
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 9:20am | Edited at 9:34am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Many AUD/XXX pairs are testing fib levels
  • Post# 6,663
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 9:22am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
AUD/USD

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  • Post# 6,664
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 9:25am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
Many AUD/XXX pairs are testing fib levels
AUD/CHF

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  • Post# 6,665
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 9:29am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
AUD/NZD

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  • Post# 6,666
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 9:34am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
Many AUD/XXX pairs are testing fib levels
AUD/CAD

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  • Post# 6,667
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 11:51am
  • Chanya
    Joined Dec 2011 | 1,041 Posts | Status: Member
Thank You LC , I totally agree with all that you said . I was just confirming what part I was missing ...
Regards
Human
  • Post# 6,668
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 12:43pm
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
AUD/NZD

Attachment 1080279
AUD/NZD Showing a nice Rejection

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  • Post# 6,669
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 2:47pm
  • Winston Reed
    Joined Mar 2009 | 805 Posts | Status: Member
Resistance becoming support?
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Wreed aka alientrader patiently waiting for the right set-up
  • Post# 6,670
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 5:41pm
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting Winston Reed
Resistance becoming support?
Here is a USD/CHF closer look, anyway level isn't too clear

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  • Post# 6,671
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 5:55pm
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
AUD/USD

Attachment 1080269
AUD/USD Nice Confluence

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  • Post# 6,672
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 6:13pm
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
CAD/JPY RRR is great, TP around previous top (Resistance) and SL just below today's low

Attachment 1076290
CAD/JPY Oh Well!

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  • Post# 6,673
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2012 8:27pm
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
GBP/AUD This is one of the new setups sent today to our FCS members

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  • Post# 6,674
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 12:47am
  • Chanya
    Joined Dec 2011 | 1,041 Posts | Status: Member
Quoting TheLastCoke
Chanya, let me start by saying that no methodology is perfect and one can be profitable with just a 40% win rate:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...64#post4082564

Your AUD/CHF entry criteria was aceptable but your SL manangement wasn't (that's why I said, it didn't failed). The 23% fib test was perfect (entry) then it was rejected (poor rejection) with a LL, here was your first warning that level could be broken, your setup got triggered then rejected and then a new LL.

On top of that, it was rejected again...
Coke , brother , I have red it again and I have realized that I am not familiar with these couple of concepts that you just explained ....

1 ) What does printing a new lower low signifies ? The price , I thought , was just picking up order from below ?

2 ) What is that BE level based on ? Just a low of one candle ? If we do it like this , wouldn't our 9/10 trades be BE ?

3 ) The setup was on daily chart ... But we are analyzing the trade on H4 ... How does that work ? And should we go down the TF with all the trades ?
Human
  • Post# 6,675
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 6:45am | Edited at 6:58am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting Chanya
Thank You LC , I totally agree with all that you said . I was just confirming what part I was missing ...
Regards
Quoting Chanya
Hi Coke, Like the example of EUR USD

Chanya, It seems that you understand every time I reply, please see this post (READ THE INFO IN THE PIC's)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...40#post6198640

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...58#post6196158

Read this if you don't know what LL is:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...20#post3620320

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...17#post3622117

It is very difficult for you to try to understand a three year old thread if you don't review my previous post in details. For basic questions please send me a PM, I will find the time to guide you thru. Feel free to post your setups Buddy and I will gladly show you the Why's and Don'ts
  • Post# 6,676
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 7:14am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
AUD/CAD

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  • Post# 6,677
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 8:04am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
CAD/JPY Oh Well!

Attachment 1080618
CAD/JPY This pair is showing texbook examples of S&R, here is a new setup

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  • Post# 6,678
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 8:33am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
GBP/AUD

Attachment 1080668

Attachment 1080669
GBP/AUD Approaching yesterday's top, let's see if we can get a HH

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  • Post# 6,679
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 9:12am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
EUR/USD A close below RS1 will "invalidate this UNCONFIRMED" reversal pattern, so far its symmetry is very acceptable and the technical target is near a nice Bearish confluence ideal for a TP and reverse trade.

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  • Post# 6,680
  • Quote
  • Nov 16, 2012 10:15am
  • TheLastCoke
    FCS Technical Strategist | 4,998 Posts | Joined Feb 2009
Quoting TheLastCoke
EUR/USD A close below RS1 will "invalidate this UNCONFIRMED" reversal pattern, so far its symmetry is very acceptable and the technical target is near a nice Bearish confluence ideal for a TP and reverse trade.

Attachment 1081252
EUR/USD Pattern Symmetry is now totally lost
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