Home
Search Forums
Keywords:
Search Titles Only
User Name:
Exact Match
Show Results As:
Advanced Options
View Poll Results: Profitable Strategy?
Yes 525 80.89%
No 124 19.11%
Voters: 649. You may not vote on this poll

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
  #1846  
Old Nov 4, 2009 5:05pm
Member
 
Member Since Jul 2009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by wa888 View Post
Hi gangsta1.

1.I want ask you about the backtest above , because I am confused because in first page , this strategy tell about time being use = 700 to 900 , but is contained 9 bar orf 15m .
I confused about this , it must be said 700 to 0915 strategy (not 700 to 900). am i coreect ?


2. time You used is 12GMT to 14 GMT ( 8 candlle 15M chart or 4 candle 30M chart). No matter summer or winter time in europe or NY. True ?

3 . Now is winter time , why you dont swicht to 13 GMT to 15 GMT ?

Thanks
To be clear, I use London time 12pm to 2pm. I use the box on the m30 and wait for the fifth candle to close at 2.30pm. That is what was used in my backtesting of 09. The results are accurate and I tested them strictly.
Reply With Quote
  #1847  
Old Nov 4, 2009 5:21pm
Member
 
Member Since Mar 2009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
To be clear, I use London time 12pm to 2pm. I use the box on the m30 and wait for the fifth candle to close at 2.30pm. That is what was used in my backtesting of 09. The results are accurate and I tested them strictly.
The person who invented this method though (as we see on the first post), was talking about M15 not M30.
Reply With Quote
  #1848  
Old Nov 4, 2009 5:26pm
Member
 
Member Since Jul 2009
Default

Well I set pending orders on all 8 pairs today using the MM from the backtesting. The results were:

E/U: -10
G/U: -10
U/CHF: +50
E/JPY: +50

Total: +80pips

From this and looking back at my testing (which included TP@75 results) I would suggest this alternative money management for this strategy..

TP:75
SL:15
Break Even@+30
**VIP**BUFFER:10 (including spread)
NB: Risk/Reward is still the healthy 1:5

My reasoning behind this is that a buffer of 10pips is large enough to filter a majority of false breakouts whilst also allowing you to place your stop loss just before the breakout line (which can act as support or resistance).
So before we had a 15pip buffer and a SL of 10pips which was 5 above the breakout line. This got us stopped out the GU and EU trades today. Well if the buffer had been 10pips including spread and the SL 15pips (5 below the breakout line) we would have been riding these trades. So results with the alternative settings mentioned above today would have been..

G/U: Break Even
E/U: +75
U/CHF: +Still alive, break even at worst
E/JPY: +75 (15Buffer due to larger spread)

Total: +150pips (not to mention the U/CHF that is still alive)

Now you see what is happening here. We are risking 5 more pips but making a whole lot more. And our risk is still only 15pips. Hope someone finds this useful. Im going to propose if your MM will allow then the optimal settings are:

TP:75
SL:15
Break Even@+30
**VIP**BUFFER:10 (including spread. If spread is too high the increase buffer to accomodate)
NB: Risk/Reward is still the healthy 1:5

................................... ...........................
Reply With Quote
  #1849  
Old Nov 4, 2009 5:28pm
Member
 
Member Since Jul 2009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by twamta View Post
The person who invented this method though (as we see on the first post), was talking about M15 not M30.
I dont care what the person who "invented" this method said to use. BTW they did not invent breakout trading, its been around for yonkers. I am my own trader and just trying to help some people who want the help. Dubai Trader mentioned the m30 chart and it seems to filter some false breakouts so I run with it. Kapeesh. If you want to use the m15 charts then thats your prerogative.
Reply With Quote
  #1850  
Old Nov 4, 2009 5:59pm
Member
 
Member Since Jul 2009
Default

Twamta, Im glad you got to talking about "The Box" (I watched that film today btw!) you got me thinking if the m15 was showing false breakouts as is the m30 albeit less, then maybe h1 is the way forward. After all, the slope direction is followed on the h1.

This leads me to tomorrows task..I will attempt to back test the pairs entering from the h1 box high/low and in the direction of slope using the money mangement both;

TP:50 SL:10
TP:75 SL:15

I will also try to capture the reuslts of a 10pip buffer vs 15pip buffer for each MM strategy.
Reply With Quote
  #1851  
Old Nov 4, 2009 6:14pm
Member
 
Member Since Aug 2006
1 Vouchers  576 Posts
Question Useful

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
. Hope someone finds this useful. Im going to propose if your MM will allow then the optimal settings are:

TP:75
SL:15
Break Even@+30
**VIP**BUFFER:10 (including spread. If spread is too high the increase buffer to accomodate)
NB: Risk/Reward is still the healthy 1:5

................................... ...........................
Incredibly useful!

Thanks
Reply With Quote
  #1852  
Old Nov 4, 2009 6:18pm
Member
 
Member Since Aug 2006
1 Vouchers  576 Posts
Lightbulb Tomorrow's Task

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
Twamta, Im glad you got to talking about "The Box" (I watched that film today btw!) you got me thinking if the m15 was showing false breakouts as is the m30 albeit less, then maybe h1 is the way forward. After all, the slope direction is followed on the h1.

This leads me to tomorrows task..I will attempt to back test the pairs entering from the h1 box high/low and in the direction of slope using the money mangement both;

TP:50 SL:10
TP:75 SL:15

I will also try to capture the reuslts of a 10pip buffer vs 15pip buffer for each MM strategy....
Can't wait!
Reply With Quote
  #1853  
Old Nov 4, 2009 6:24pm
Member
 
Member Since Apr 2009
Talking

me also


Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobcat2 View Post
Can't wait!
Reply With Quote
  #1854  
Old Nov 4, 2009 7:21pm
Junior Member
 
Member Since Sep 2009
Default Slope ???

Sorry but can i have some explanation about the slope??? What is the slope? And on wishe time frame?

Thanks
Reply With Quote
  #1855  
Old Nov 4, 2009 8:00pm
Member
 
Member Since Dec 2008
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
Twamta, Im glad you got to talking about "The Box" (I watched that film today btw!) you got me thinking if the m15 was showing false breakouts as is the m30 albeit less, then maybe h1 is the way forward. After all, the slope direction is followed on the h1.
Maybe I'm just dumb but I dont get why our results would change if we used a different tf. As long as the box is being created by the high and the low between 7-9 am, then the tf shouldn't matter...
Reply With Quote
  #1856  
Old Nov 4, 2009 8:49pm
cesararr's Avatar
Member
 
Member Since Sep 2009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DubaiTrader View Post
I have no time limit on open trades. I let them run to TP or SL.

hi sir.

how you set up your sl and tp? if it not hit your tp during that session what you do?

thanks... for help everyone...
Reply With Quote
  #1857  
Old Nov 4, 2009 9:23pm
Junior Member
 
Member Since Sep 2009
Default Useful Method

Seeing that the market spends most time in consolidation, one could put it in a box and trade breaks regardless. Also use fibs to see where the S/R is likely to show up, 38,50,62
Reply With Quote
  #1858  
Old Nov 4, 2009 10:24pm
Member
 
Member Since Aug 2006
1 Vouchers  576 Posts
Question One more time

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
Twamta, Im glad you got to talking about "The Box" (I watched that film today btw!) you got me thinking if the m15 was showing false breakouts as is the m30 albeit less, then maybe h1 is the way forward. After all, the slope direction is followed on the h1.

This leads me to tomorrows task..I will attempt to back test the pairs entering from the h1 box high/low and in the direction of slope using the money mangement both;

TP:50 SL:10
TP:75 SL:15

I will also try to capture the reuslts of a 10pip buffer vs 15pip buffer for each MM strategy....
gangsta1 and gang members,

Ok...for those of us who are continually challenged by the ever-changing time zones and frames, am I correct when I plot my London breakout box (2 1/2 hours in duration) to end at 8:30AM London time?

And the New York breakout box (2 1/2 hours) to end at 8:30AM New York Time?

So who is trading the upcoming London session with gangsta1's recommendation:
2 slope indicator trade direction
10 pip buffer (including spread)
15 pip SL
75 pip TP
BE after +30 pips

Thanks, y'all!
Reply With Quote
  #1859  
Old Nov 5, 2009 12:44am
Member
 
Member Since May 2009
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by gangsta1 View Post
Twamta, Im glad you got to talking about "The Box" (I watched that film today btw!) you got me thinking if the m15 was showing false breakouts as is the m30 albeit less, then maybe h1 is the way forward. After all, the slope direction is followed on the h1.

This leads me to tomorrows task..I will attempt to back test the pairs entering from the h1 box high/low and in the direction of slope using the money mangement both;

TP:50 SL:10
TP:75 SL:15

I will also try to capture the reuslts of a 10pip buffer vs 15pip buffer for each MM strategy.
Thanks for all the effort.

It is really appreciated.

Reply With Quote
  #1860  
Old Nov 5, 2009 1:57am
Breakout Trader
 
Member Since Aug 2008
Thumbs up Great Job

Dubaitrader and Gansta1 have certainly given this thread new life. This is an excellent strategy that has proven itself to be robust over the years. I have been trading breakouts for a while now and it works well. A similar strategy can also be applied to London opening range session. It works equally well and gives us two great trading opportunities each day to capture nice pips. Well done Dubaitrader and Gansta1, your hardwork and contributions are appreciated.

fxpilot
Reply With Quote
Reply

9 Traders Viewing This Thread (3 are members)
JRpips8, Rjh, latsoc
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
The Big Dog Trading Secret tcmm Trading Systems 250 Oct 15, 2009 11:02am
KISS FX Breakout Strategy Miksu Trading Systems 34 Sep 15, 2009 9:53am
Breakout Strategy gustav213 Trading Systems 10 Jun 23, 2009 8:20pm
Breakout Strategy - The Pro's Way Micardo Trading Systems 158 Dec 11, 2008 7:17am
Trading The Big Dog Pack ..howllll TEB63 Trading Systems 26 Dec 6, 2008 7:24am