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- The Fool replied 18 hr ago
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- The Fool replied 34 hr ago
AFTER being down a ton already, I'd look for TSLA to beat & bounce. With fat iv's, cheap flys could pay uuge with a lucky Friday pin. Ex move $15 but I'd bet it'll be more, either way.... image
- The Fool replied 44 hr ago
happy to see this solid bounce & you knew it was coming. With just 5 td's til Apr 29 and heavy ERs this week, I'll likely keep the IC call side open and shoot for a release on Friday... image
- The Fool replied Apr 20, 2024
April - Mid-May of '22 it was 7 straight red weeks, for a 17% correction. Now looking at just 3 straight for just about 7% down. We could be just getting started .... I need to see a green day though, and soon... image
- The Fool replied Apr 19, 2024
classic image
- The Fool replied Apr 15, 2024
I sold the limit on today's down move, out 14dte 15 delta 25-wide, but I didn't get all that I wanted.... image
- The Fool replied Apr 14, 2024
looking at superbull trades to run into Q1 earnings season.....(superbull = sell puts to fund long calls.) i.e., sell a put spread and buy a call spread.... image
- The Fool replied Apr 14, 2024
on the premise that Friday's sell-off was mostly a reaction to looming Iran-Israel conflict, the easy prediction is that the coming week will see indices rally, as the issue may be settled, for now...I'll be looking at legging into the put side ...
- The Fool replied Apr 12, 2024
Looking for a riskoff selloff today, could be worth a shot for cheap SPX put flys... image
- The Fool replied Apr 12, 2024
The old double diag kitty. Old school RUT has AM expiry options on monthly opex day, which is next Friday. Similar to SPX. You can do a PM/AM time spread, as shown. Which will be quite cheap for a calendar and a small credit for a 5-wing diagonal. ...
- The Fool replied Apr 8, 2024
The IC at about $3 profit now, out of $7.25 max possible. Daily theta heading > $1.20 today. Will chance a hold thru tomorrow but want to exit b4 Wednesday, where minutes & CPI spell potential trouble. I might get out with 50% credit tomorrow. ...
- The Fool replied Apr 5, 2024
JPow needs to take Kashkari to the woodshed. The Goldilocks dream must not die. RUT to rally hard on easing inflation reports next week. image
- The Fool replied Apr 5, 2024
lol... image video
- The Fool replied Apr 3, 2024
I am up $1.20 on the IC above. Net daily theta creeping up to > -$0.40 now. I am tempted to bail before NFP, and then reload after next week's CPI. image ...risk looking south so normally that means she'll rally....I'd like to roll down the calls ...
- The Fool replied Apr 1, 2024
DJT down $20, but the far otm puts are losing money....???? Figures....
- The Fool replied Apr 1, 2024
small bet on RUT rally continuing image
- The Fool replied Mar 29, 2024
The IC entered today is 15dte, 25-wide, 15 delta each side, +/- 2 delta. Got $5.10 credit. Looking at comparable 45dte trade, same width & deltas - it also pays $5.00....wtf!? Fuck 45dte then, shorter is better. @15dte, I will try to ride it down to ...
- The Fool replied Mar 28, 2024
Most trading days have these dead guts that are tailor-made for iron flys. Get in about 30-60 min past the open and be prepared to exit about 90 minutes b4 the close
- The Fool replied Mar 28, 2024
what'll happen to DJT if Trump loses the election? If he gets jailed. If he strokes out on the golf course? Heaviest options volume is in the extreme otm puts. Interesting elevated iv in the Sept options vs later options makes for some very cheap ...