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How can I draw trend lines correctly? how can I draw trend lines like a pro ... can any one give me steps ... or any kinda site that teach how to drw these lines and how to figure S/R ... i think only mathmaticians can draw patterns without an indicator use |
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there is a trader who is a member and who seems to master trendlines. his user is wmd http://www.forexfactory.com/wmd. |
Honestly, just experiment some with your own drawn TLŽs and see how price reacts to it. Eventually youŽll get better at it. |
Trendlines are like art. The beuaty lies in the eye of the beholder. They are subjective in nature but when you draw them according to your own rules you can make them more objective. Once you make them more objective you will have greater success with them. Like a couple of the other members here have mentioned Tom Demark is a good resource. |
dont bother, plot a 50sma, use it as dynamic trendline |
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How can any one draw trends and patterns like that ... what are the basics ... from were can i begin ... and were i will end ... please guys just give me some hints that i can actually begin with ... ... steps please ... indicators arent good ... i want to draw myself ... i have tried many times and none made sense ... not even one time i was right about my drawings |
I have nothing to do with the website: http://www.forexhit.com/learn-forex/forex-trends.html but it has an interesting approach about trends, take a look. |
This is also a good way. |
Before worrying about how to draw trend lines, you need to ask yourself what you expect trend lines to achieve for you. Better to start with the view that top traders are conservative in their trading style - that is how they manage to stay in this business. Ask yourself what the big/successful traders use to enter trades. In short you will find that the answer is support and resistance, demand and supply - horizontal lines rather than oblique lines. The smaller traders use trend lines to try to follow the big traders. Think like a BIG trader even when you are a small trader. Build a trading style around S/R and continually question your system until you are comfortable that it is really working. With a good system, you will be able to take every trade that is signalled and end up with a positive account over time. A simple uncluttered system works best, but you need to try things till you get there. Keep questioning every line you draw and every indicator you add and ask yourself "am I using this? Does it help me to see what price is doing and find an entry?" If the answer is "no" then delete it. If your system does not allow you to do this, you are not there yet. Keep working, minimise your losses while you are developing your trading style. The secret is staying around till you can "see" where price is likely to go. Avoid people who say they "know" where price is going. You never know where price is going. You think in terms of probability. Every time you take a loss, use it as an opportunity to learn. "Oh boy, I made a loss. Now what did I miss here?". Find out and use this knowledge to move forward. etc...etc... If you want to use trend lines, try Tom DeMark trend lines, they join swing lows to show an uptrend and swing highs to show a downtrend. But then ask yourself, "how can I use this information?" PS. wmd has some interesting stuff to say. Read this and try to see why he says things. How can you apply it? Ignore all of the responses. Use your own intelligence. |
instead of drawing trend lines which are like art..........why not take the log returns of every hour for the past 24hrs, and do a linear regression use linear extrapolation to get an idea of the return in the next 24hr ceteris paribus. but also the beauty of this is you can use it as the drift for price simulations advantages 1- it is not like art, it is objective mathematically (given the linear assumption) 2- can be input in this equation price*e^(drift{linear regression model} + standard deviation of the asset * random normal number generator) 3- you can get your Value at Risk by finding the .05% if you are bullish or .95% if you are bearish 4- it is objective. gives you a better idea as you of what price can actually be as you are using more of a probability flexible approach as opposed to drawing lines on your chart and gives you better parameters which are empirically observed in my opinion of course people say why make it so complicated? I just want to draw a damn line and open the door to riches |
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Draw the line that connects the most points, without impeding the candle bodies. The theory; As someone mentioned earlier, everyone will draw the line differently but this line will include the MOST amount of those people. this line will in turn have the most weight/ orders and become not only a strong support/resistance from limit orders but a liquid target that price "should" seek. |
I suggest going back several weeks and drawing some trend lines on closed candles and see if price actually responded to them before committing to any new practice. The test to everything is "does it work for me?". |
Hi, With this DiNapoli AB=CD pattern you are at the beginning of your journey. Start to connect the swing lows from right to left with eachother, in order to draw the up trend. Connect the swing highs from right to left with eachother in a downtrend. For further information I would suggest you study the link here: http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-...on-pro-banker/ Have a lot of fun! |
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