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Dollar Rally…It’s On!
There is a big difference between actionable information and reference information when it comes to trading. Full Story
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Submitted Nov 22, 2009 1:35pm
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Nov 22, 2009 1:39pm
To Register for a Webinar this Tuesday, 11/24, hosted by Jay on Integrating Fundamental Analysis into your trading go to https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/543618195

If you can't make it, still sign up to recieve the archive.
 
Nov 22, 2009 1:56pm
Nice article. Good point about abstract fundamentals which might or might not gain traction and tangible PA which you can base trades on. Time for a $$$ resurrection...(until Feb 2010 when it will start a big leg down again).

Cheerio
 
Nov 22, 2009 2:11pm
Weekly USD/INX hit two lows to the tick.
 
Nov 22, 2009 2:26pm
....been following closely lately:....quite inspiring and making me feel like a PRO! Thanks and God bless u.
 
Nov 22, 2009 2:33pm
thanks Tex...yep...fact based triggers are the only way to handle risk

Hi Inflxshn, DJIA also completed 50% retrace of '07 to '09 downmove leaving a shooting star on the weekly...U.S. stocks still hanging on though -- no sell confirmation just yet...

Thank you very much Goodwings! God Bless You and your family and friends too!

Last edited by Trout, Nov 22, 2009 2:51pm
 
Nov 22, 2009 4:55pm
i wana ask you ..do u advice me 2 buy euro ?this week!
 
Nov 23, 2009 9:47am
Hi Riene,
That would have been a good idea last night.
___________________________________ ___________

A very important aspect of trading is you need to be able to afford to do it. Using higher time frame confirmation also means your risk is calculated on the higher time frame also. And it means the trader is financially and mentally prepared to whether adverse price movement, and always prepared to be wrong.
 
Nov 23, 2009 11:47am
Sure.... NOT!!!! (just kidding)
 
Nov 23, 2009 12:52pm
LOLOL Good one FXT, it takes time to turn an ocean tanker around...I do sort of miss the old days when markets went both ways. Us EURUSD shorts still need a close below 48.00 to go all in, and the ability to weather another move to 50.50.
 
Nov 23, 2009 3:39pm
It could be now Jay, if if S&P gets under 1105 and holds the day.

Marco

Last edited by TheLFB.com, Nov 23, 2009 4:19pm
 
Nov 24, 2009 5:27am
what buy/sell signals are you talking about Jay? your sma open/ sma close cross? . Hopefully you have something a little more substantial than that to base this trade recommendation on
 
Nov 24, 2009 8:54am
Hi Marco,
Cheers Buddy
I think time and price wise we're close to a top in those spoos too

Hi MACD,

I used the crystal ball on that one

Stop above the Oct high

Last edited by Trout, Nov 24, 2009 2:42pm
 
Nov 25, 2009 9:07am
MACD,

I did go in w/ the minimum requirements. Which is fine, given my risk was still just 2%. I did not wait for confirmation of a trend line break on the higher time frame. At the begining of a campaign, when we have the minimum rquirements, and the market, as was this case in eurusd, still moving sideways, we either wait for a close below the bottom of the range -- same as trend line break in this case, or we go in very small, understanding our risk is only to the top of the range -- which gave me a nice risk/reward which was the deciding factor, i.e. greed. I still need a close above the Oct high to exit -- have a hard stop -- aka catostophic stop -- 10 pips above Weekly Pivot R2 which happens to be a hair over a 2% loss for me. I like positon trading like this because it's much easier to become detached from the trade.

I didn't do anything else outside EURUSD -- Thankgiving '06 was never far from my mind, nor was the old trading floor adage "don't get caught short in a quiet market".

Happy Thanksgiving Everybody!
 
Nov 26, 2009 5:13am
Thanks for sharing your reasoning and risk management. I like the "old trading floor adage" also